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Earth System Dynamics An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union

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© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
20 Jun 2017
Review status
This discussion paper is under review for the journal Earth System Dynamics (ESD).
Process-level improvements in CMIP5 models and their impact on tropical variability, Southern Ocean and monsoons
Axel Lauer1, Colin Jones2,3, Veronika Eyring1, Martin Evaldsson4, Stefan Hagemann5, Jarmo Mäkelä6, Gill Martin3, Romain Roehrig7, and Shiyu Wang4 1Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt (DLR), Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre, Oberpfaffenhofen, Germany
2University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
3Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK
4Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI), Norrköping, Sweden
5Max Planck Institute for Meteorology (MPI-M), Hamburg, Germany
6Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI), Helsinki, Finland
7CNRM, Météo-France/CNRS, Toulouse, France
Abstract. The performance of improved versions of the four earth system models (ESMs) CNRM, EC-Earth, HadGEM, and MPI-ESM is assessed in comparison to their predecessor versions used in Phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project. The earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) is applied to evaluate selected climate phenomena in the models against observations. This is the first systematic application of the ESMValTool to assess and document the progress made during an extensive model development and improvement project. This study focuses on the South Asian (SAM) and West African (WAM) monsoons, the coupled equatorial climate, and Southern Ocean clouds and radiation, which are known to exhibit systematic biases in present-day ESMs.

The analysis shows that the tropical precipitation in three out of four models is significantly improved. Two of three updated coupled models show an improved representation of tropical sea surface temperatures with one coupled model not exhibiting a double Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone. Simulated cloud amounts and cloud-radiation interactions are improved over the Southern Ocean. Improvements are also seen in the simulation of the SAM and WAM, although systematic biases remain in regional details and the timing of monsoon rainfall. Analysis of simulations with EC-Earth at different horizontal resolutions from T159 up to T1279 shows that the synoptic-scale variability of precipitation over the SAM and WAM regions improves with higher model resolution. The results suggest the reasonably good agreement of modeled and observed mean WAM and SAM rainfall in lower resolution models may be a result of unrealistic intensity distributions.

Citation: Lauer, A., Jones, C., Eyring, V., Evaldsson, M., Hagemann, S., Mäkelä, J., Martin, G., Roehrig, R., and Wang, S.: Process-level improvements in CMIP5 models and their impact on tropical variability, Southern Ocean and monsoons, Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss.,, in review, 2017.
Axel Lauer et al.
Axel Lauer et al.
Axel Lauer et al.


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