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Special Issues

ESDD - Special Issue

Predictions under change: water, earth, and biota in the anthropocene
Editor(s): M. Sivapalan, T. J. Troy, V. Srinivasan, A. Kleidon, D. Gerten, and A. Montanari

Special Issue jointly organized between Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions and Earth System Dynamics Discussions

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Climate change impact on available water resources obtained using multiple global climate and hydrology models   
S. Hagemann, C. Chen, D. B. Clark, S. Folwell, S. N. Gosling, I. Haddeland, N. Hanasaki, J. Heinke, F. Ludwig, F. Voß, and A. J. Wiltshire
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., 3, 1321-1345, 2012
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 4947 KB)   Supplement (5445 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Closed, 6 Comments)   Final Revised Paper (ESD)


  04 Dec 2012
Virtual water trade flows and savings under climate change   
M. Konar, Z. Hussein, N. Hanasaki, D. L. Mauzerall, and I. Rodriguez-Iturbe
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 10, 67-101, 2013
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 3024 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Closed, 4 Comments)   Final Revised Paper (HESS)


  02 Jan 2013
Hydrological cycle over south and southeast Asian river basins as simulated by PCMDI/CMIP3 experiments   
S. Hasson, V. Lucarini, and S. Pascale
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., 4, 109-177, 2013
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 17118 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Closed, 4 Comments)   Final Revised Paper (ESD)


  22 Jan 2013
Thermodynamic limits of hydrologic cycling within the Earth system: concepts, estimates and implications   
A. Kleidon and M. Renner
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 10, 3187-3236, 2013
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 2020 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Closed, 5 Comments)   Final Revised Paper (HESS)


  12 Mar 2013
Towards understanding the dynamic behaviour of floodplains as human-water systems   
G. Di Baldassarre, M. Kooy, J. S. Kemerink, and L. Brandimarte
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 10, 3869-3895, 2013
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 986 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Closed, 4 Comments)   Final Revised Paper (HESS)


  25 Mar 2013
A vital link: water and vegetation in the Anthropocene   
D. Gerten
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 10, 4439-4462, 2013
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 1365 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Closed, 9 Comments)   Final Revised Paper (HESS)


  08 Apr 2013
Socio-hydrology: conceptualising human-flood interactions   
G. Di Baldassarre, A. Viglione, G. Carr, L. Kuil, J. L. Salinas, and G. Blöschl
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 10, 4515-4536, 2013
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 1340 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Closed, 8 Comments)   Final Revised Paper (HESS)


  09 Apr 2013
Endogenous change: on cooperation and water in ancient history   
S. Pande and M. Ertsen
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 10, 4829-4868, 2013
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 3990 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Closed, 13 Comments)   Final Revised Paper (HESS)


  17 Apr 2013
Continental moisture recycling as a Poisson process   
H. F. Goessling and C. H. Reick
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 10, 5057-5076, 2013
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 818 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Closed, 4 Comments)   Final Revised Paper (HESS)


  19 Apr 2013
Land use change effects on runoff generation in a humid tropical montane cloud forest region   
L. E. Muñoz-Villers and J. J. McDonnell
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 10, 5269-5314, 2013
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 1734 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Closed, 6 Comments)   Final Revised Paper (HESS)


  29 Apr 2013
Darwinian hydrology: can the methodology Charles Darwin pioneered help hydrologic science?   
C. Harman and P. A. Troch
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 10, 6407-6444, 2013
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 925 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Closed, 8 Comments)   Final Revised Paper (HESS)


  23 May 2013
Comparative analysis of hydrologic signatures in two agricultural watersheds in east-central Illinois: legacies of the past to inform the future   
M. A. Yaeger, M. Sivapalan, G. F. McIsaac, and X. Cai
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 10, 6515-6558, 2013
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 6950 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Closed, 4 Comments)   Final Revised Paper (HESS)


  27 May 2013
Socio-hydrology and the science-policy interface: a case study of the Saskatchewan River Basin   
P. Gober and H. S. Wheater
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 10, 6669-6693, 2013
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 3296 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Closed, 4 Comments)   Final Revised Paper (HESS)


  29 May 2013
Climate-driven interannual variability of water scarcity in food production: a global analysis   
M. Kummu, D. Gerten, J. Heinke, M. Konzmann, and O. Varis
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 10, 6931-6962, 2013
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 1828 KB)   Supplement (375 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Closed, 4 Comments)   Final Revised Paper (HESS)


  03 Jun 2013
A paradigm shift in predicting stormflow responses in an active tectonic region through a similarity analysis of pressure propagation in a hydraulic continuum   
Makoto Tani
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 10, 7045-7089, 2013
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 1813 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Closed, 8 Comments)   Final Revised Paper (HESS)


  03 Jun 2013
Socio-hydrologic drivers of the Pendulum Swing between agriculture development and environmental health: a case study from Murrumbidgee River Basin, Australia   
J. Kandasamy, D. Sounthararajah, P. Sivabalan, A. Chanan, S. Vigneswaran, and M. Sivapalan
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 10, 7197-7233, 2013
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 2662 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Closed, 7 Comments)   Final Revised Paper (HESS)


  05 Jun 2013
Virtual water trade and development in Africa   
M. Konar and K. Caylor
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 10, 7291-7324, 2013
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 10492 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Closed, 3 Comments)   Final Revised Paper (HESS)


  06 Jun 2013
Relationships between environmental governance and water quality in growing metropolitan areas: a synthetic view through the coupled natural and human system lens   
H. Chang, P. Thiers, N. R. Netusil, J. A. Yeakley, G. Rollwagen-Bollens, S. M. Bollens, and S. Singh
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 10, 7395-7424, 2013
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 2350 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Closed, 6 Comments)   Final Revised Paper (HESS)


  11 Jun 2013
Reconstructing the duty of water: a study of emergent norms in socio-hydrology   
J. L. Wescoat Jr.
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 10, 7517-7536, 2013
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 756 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Closed, 6 Comments)   Final Revised Paper (HESS)


  14 Jun 2013
Evolving water science in the Anthropocene   
H. H. G. Savenije, A. Y. Hoekstra, and P. van der Zaag
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 10, 7619-7649, 2013
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 856 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Closed, 7 Comments)   Final Revised Paper (HESS)


  17 Jun 2013
Historic maps as a data source for socio-hydrology: a case study of the Lake Balaton wetland system, Hungary   
A. Zlinszky and G. Timár
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 10, 7733-7781, 2013
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 19849 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Closed, 3 Comments)   Final Revised Paper (HESS)


  19 Jun 2013
Analyzing streamflow changes: irrigation-enhanced interaction between aquifer and streamflow in the Republican River Basin   
R. Zeng and X. Cai
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 10, 7783-7807, 2013
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 2932 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Closed, 4 Comments)   Final Revised Paper (HESS)


  19 Jun 2013
Hard paths, soft paths or no paths? Cross-cultural perceptions of water solutions   
A. Wutich, A. C. White, C. M. Roberts, D. D. White, K. L. Larson, and A. Brewis
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 10, 7809-7835, 2013
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 814 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Closed, 4 Comments)   Final Revised Paper (HESS)


  20 Jun 2013
Illustrating a new approach to estimating potential reduction in fish species richness due to flow alteration on a global scale   
S. Yoshikawa, A. Yanagawa, A. Khajuria, P. Sui, Y. Iwasaki, K. Hirano, R. Mahendran, S. Koirala, Y. Hirabayashi, C. Yoshimura, and S. Kanae
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 10, 7837-7856, 2013
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 2022 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Closed, 4 Comments)   Final Revised Paper (HESS)


  20 Jun 2013
Developing predictive insight into changing water systems: use-inspired hydrologic science for the Anthropocene   
S. E. Thompson, M. Sivapalan, C. J. Harman, V. Srinivasan, M. R. Hipsey, P. Reed, A. Montanari, and G. Blöschl
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 10, 7897-7961, 2013
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 6641 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Closed, 4 Comments)   Final Revised Paper (HESS)


  20 Jun 2013
Modelling multiple threats to water security in the Peruvian Amazon using the WaterWorld Policy Support System   
A. J. J. van Soesbergen and M. Mulligan
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., 4, 567-594, 2013
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 4467 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Closed, 7 Comments)   Final Revised Paper (ESD)


  27 Jun 2013
Towards modelling flood protection investment as a coupled human and natural system   
P. E. O'Connell and G. O'Donnell
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 10, 8279-8323, 2013
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 1157 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Closed, 6 Comments)   Final Revised Paper (HESS)


  27 Jun 2013
Advancing catchment hydrology to deal with predictions under change   
U. Ehret, H. V. Gupta, M. Sivapalan, S. V. Weijs, S. J. Schymanski, G. Blöschl, A. N. Gelfan, C. Harman, A. Kleidon, T. A. Bogaard, D. Wang, T. Wagener, U. Scherer, E. Zehe, M. F. P. Bierkens, G. Di Baldassarre, J. Parajka, L. P. H. van Beek, A. van Griensven, M. C. Westhoff, and H. C. Winsemius
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 10, 8581-8634, 2013
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 1261 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Closed, 5 Comments)   Final Revised Paper (HESS)


  02 Jul 2013
Large-sample hydrology: a need to balance depth with breadth   
H. V. Gupta, C. Perrin, R. Kumar, G. Blöschl, M. Clark, A. Montanari, and V. Andréassian
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 10, 9147-9189, 2013
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 3271 KB)   Supplement (767 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Closed, 17 Comments)   Final Revised Paper (HESS)


  12 Jul 2013
Impacts of human activities and climate variability on green and blue water flows in the Heihe River Basin in Northwest China   
C. Zang, J. Liu, L. Jiang, and D. Gerten
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 10, 9477-9504, 2013
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 2026 KB)   Supplement (1234 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Closed, 14 Comments)   Publication in HESS not foreseen


  18 Jul 2013
Irrigation efficiency and water-policy implications for river-basin resilience   
C. A. Scott, S. Vicuña, I. Blanco-Gutiérrez, F. Meza, and C. Varela-Ortega
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 10, 9943-9965, 2013
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 1237 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Closed, 4 Comments)   Final Revised Paper (HESS)


  29 Jul 2013
Seasonality of the hydrological cycle in major South and Southeast Asian River Basins as simulated by PCMDI/CMIP3 experiments   
S. Hasson, V. Lucarini, S. Pascale, and J. Böhner
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., 4, 627-675, 2013
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 2755 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Closed, 5 Comments)   Final Revised Paper (ESD)


  30 Jul 2013
Indigenous vegetation burning practices and their impact on the climate of the northern Australian monsoon region   
K.-H. Wyrwoll, F. H. McRobie, M. Notaro, and G. Chen
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 10, 10313-10332, 2013
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 1436 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Closed, 4 Comments)   Publication in HESS not foreseen


  13 Aug 2013
A simple explanation for the sensitivity of the hydrologic cycle to global climate change   
A. Kleidon and M. Renner
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., 4, 853-868, 2013
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 877 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Closed, 9 Comments)   Final Revised Paper (ESD)


  14 Aug 2013
Acting, predicting and intervening in a socio-hydrological world   
S. N. Lane
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 10, 10659-10717, 2013
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 1099 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Closed, 4 Comments)   Final Revised Paper (HESS)


  16 Aug 2013
Globalization of agricultural pollution due to international trade   
C. O'Bannon, J. Carr, D. A. Seekell, and P. D'Odorico
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 10, 11221-11239, 2013
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 1439 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Closed, 8 Comments)   Final Revised Paper (HESS)


  27 Aug 2013
Recent evolution of China's virtual water trade: analysis of selected crops and considerations for policy   
J. Shi, J. Liu, and L. Pinter
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 10, 11613-11641, 2013
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 2909 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Closed, 7 Comments)   Final Revised Paper (HESS)


  17 Sep 2013
Socio-hydrologic perspectives of the co-evolution of humans and water in the Tarim River Basin, Western China: the Taiji–Tire Model   
Y. Liu, F. Tian, H. Hu, and M. Sivapalan
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 10, 12753-12792, 2013
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 1336 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Closed, 8 Comments)   Final Revised Paper (HESS)


  28 Oct 2013
Coevolution of water security in a developing city   
V. Srinivasan
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 10, 13265-13291, 2013
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 1645 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Final Response, 7 Comments)   Manuscript under review for HESS


  05 Nov 2013
Endogenous technological and population change under increasing water scarcity   
S. Pande, M. Ertsen, and M. Sivapalan
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 10, 13505-13537, 2013
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 2206 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Closed, 3 Comments)   Final Revised Paper (HESS)


  08 Nov 2013
A journey of a thousand miles begins with one small step – human agency, hydrological processes and time in socio-hydrology   
M. W. Ertsen, J. T. Murphy, L. E. Purdue, and T. Zhu
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 10, 14265-14304, 2013
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 3434 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Closed, 5 Comments)   Final Revised Paper (HESS)


  21 Nov 2013
A prototype framework for models of socio-hydrology: identification of key feedback loops with application to two Australian case-studies   
Y. Elshafei, M. Sivapalan, M. Tonts, and M. R. Hipsey
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 11, 629-689, 2014
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 2452 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Closed, 4 Comments)   Final Revised Paper (HESS)


  14 Jan 2014
Groundwater Dynamics under Water Saving Irrigation and Implications for Sustainable Water Management in an Oasis: Tarim River Basin of Western China   
Z. Zhang, H. Hu, F. Tian, X. Yao, and M. Sivapalan
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 11, 1777-1820, 2014
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 1097 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Closed, 10 Comments)   Final Revised Paper (HESS)


  10 Feb 2014
Hydrological, ecological, land use, economic, and sociocultural evidence for resilience of traditional irrigation communities in New Mexico, USA   
A. Fernald, S. Guldan, K. Boykin, A. Cibils, M. Gonzales, B. H. Hurd, S. Lopez, C. G. Ochoa, M. Ortiz, J. Rivera, S. Rodriguez, and C. M. Steele
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 11, 1821-1869, 2014
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 4839 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Final Response, 7 Comments)   Manuscript under review for HESS


  11 Feb 2014
Infrastructure sufficiency in meeting water demand under climate-induced socio-hydrological transition in the urbanizing Capibaribe River Basin – Brazil   
A. Ribeiro Neto, C. A. Scott, E. A. Lima, S. M. G. L. Montenegro, and J. A. Cirilo
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 11, 2795-2824, 2014
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 1930 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Closed, 7 Comments)   Final Revised Paper (HESS)


  07 Mar 2014
Socio-hydrologic modeling to understand and mediate the competition for water between agriculture development and environmental health: Murrumbidgee River Basin, Australia   
T. H. M. van Emmerik, Z. Li, M. Sivapalan, S. Pande, J. Kandasamy, H. H. G. Savenije, A. Chanan, and S. Vigneswaran
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 11, 3387-3435, 2014
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 6473 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Closed, 7 Comments)   Final Revised Paper (HESS)


  24 Mar 2014
A coupled modeling framework of the co-evolution of humans and water: case study of Tarim River Basin, western China   
D. Liu, F. Tian, M. Lin, and M. Sivapalan
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 11, 3911-3966, 2014
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 1289 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Final Response, 11 Comments)   Manuscript under review for HESS


  10 Apr 2014
A virtual water network of the Roman world   
B. J. Dermody, R. P. H. van Beek, E. Meeks, K. Klein Goldewijk, W. Scheidel, Y. van der Velde, M. F. P. Bierkens, M. J. Wassen, and S. C. Dekker
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 11, 6561-6597, 2014
 Abstract   Discussion Paper (PDF, 1769 KB)   Supplement (1360 KB)   Interactive Discussion (Final Response, 7 Comments)   Manuscript under review for HESS


  20 Jun 2014