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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">ESDD</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>Earth System Dynamics Discussions</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">ESDD</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">2190-4995</issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus GmbH</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/esdd-4-109-2013</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Hydrological cycle over south and southeast Asian river basins as simulated by PCMDI/CMIP3 experiments</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Hasson</surname>
<given-names>S.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Lucarini</surname>
<given-names>V.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Pascale</surname>
<given-names>S.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Meteorological Institute, KlimaCampus, University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Reading, Reading, UK</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>22</day>
<month>01</month>
<year>2013</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>4</volume>
<issue>1</issue>
<fpage>109</fpage>
<lpage>177</lpage>
<permissions>
<license xlink:type="simple">
<license-p>This is an open-access article ditributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.</license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
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<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.earth-syst-dynam-discuss.net/4/109/2013/esdd-4-109-2013.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from http://www.earth-syst-dynam-discuss.net/4/109/2013/esdd-4-109-2013.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>We investigate how CMIP3 climate models describe the hydrological cycle over
four major South and Southeast Asian river basins (Indus, Ganges,
Brahmaputra and Mekong) for the XX, XXI, and XXII centuries. For the XX
century, models&apos; simulated water balance and total runoff quantities are
neither consistent with the observed mean river discharges nor among the
models. Most of the models underestimate the water balance for the Ganges,
Brahmaputra and Mekong basin and overestimate it for the Indus basin. The
only modest inter-model agreement is found for the Indus basin in terms of
precipitation, evaporation and the strength of the hydrological cycle and
for the Brahmaputra basin in terms of evaporation. While some models show
inconsistencies for the Indus and the Ganges basins, most of the models seem
to conserve water at the river basin scale up to a good degree of
approximation. Models agree on a negative change of the water balance for
Indus and a positive change in the strength of the hydrological cycle,
whereas for Brahmaputra, Mekong and Ganges, most of the models project a
positive change in both quantities. Most of the models foresee an increase
in the inter-annual variability of the water balance for the Ganges and
Mekong basins which is consistent with the projected changes in the Monsoon
precipitation. No considerable future change in the inter-annual variability
of water balance is found for the Indus basin, characterized by a more
complex meteorology, because its precipitation regime is determined not only
by the summer monsoon but also by the winter mid-latitude disturbances.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="69"/></counts>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body/>
<back>
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